On the night of Monday to Tuesday, the world breathed a sigh of relief – Donald Trump announced a “full and complete” suspension of weapons in the Middle East. However, only a few hours were enough for the situation to be exacerbated again. Apparently Iran attacked Israel. How does the Bitcoin course behave under these conditions?
In the Middle East still hot
At night, Trump announced a suspension of weapons – Iran and Israel were to cease mutual attacks.
I think the weapon suspension will last forever
Trump said, suggesting that everything would turn into a room.
On Tuesday morning everything was confirmed by the Prime Minister of Israel Binjamin Netanyahu.
In the light of achieving the goals of the operation and in full coordination with President Trump, Israel agreed to the president’s proposal regarding bilateral suspension of weapons
He said.
Except that after just a few hours the world froze again: Israel announced that Iran fired more rockets towards him. Tehran denied everything, but Tel Aviv has already said that he was going to defend himself and answer “a” strong retort “. The disputed rocket was allegedly intercepted.
For now, Iran has accused Israel of breaking the principles of suspension of weapons. So we have a situation in which both sides accuse of the same.
In the background, however, something much more dangerous is happening. The United States Aircrats of USS Gerald R. Ford is to set off from Virginia and reach Israel – he says The Independent. Objective? Securing this country against any Iran attacks. It will only increase the risk of escalation.
What exactly is happening in the region?
But what exactly happens on the Israel-Iran line? The worst thing is that it is not known. The truth in the war is dying first.
Theoretically, it would be in the interest of Iran to sign a peace treaty. This country needs time to rebuild its facilities where the enrichment of uranium was worked. In addition, China, the USA and other countries that are afraid of the effects of the blockade of the Strait of the Ormuz must press on him.
In turn, it is in the interest of Israel to continue the conflict, but in cooperation with the USA. So does Tel Aviv lie about Iran’s attack? No one except the authorities from Tel Aviv can answer this question.
What can happen now in the Middle East?
Let’s think now what can happen now in the region.
It is possible that Israel and Iran will exchange blows for the last time and the room will come. It is all the more likely that Tel Aviv is starting to lack missiles with the capture of the bullets that Tehran can attack him. Iran, in turn, as I mentioned, generally needs peace to rebuild his infrastructure for work on nuclear weapons.
Room would be the most favorable scenario for markets. Such a variant is probably also played by investors, which can be seen from oil contracts falling from the morning.
Only that further escalation cannot be ruled out. This would be provided by Israel’s narrative about the next Iran attack on its territory (I will repeat it again: not confirmed – Iran denies these revelations). Then there is a threat to the US joining the war. It is possible that for this purpose he was sent to the region of USS Aircraft carrier Gerald R. Ford.
This scenario, however, assumes a conspiracy, behind which the binjamine government Netanyahu and Donald Trump would stand. This is not impossible at all. The world was observed in 1956, when Israel’s attack on Egypt took place. Aggression was preceded by the decision of the latter country to nationalize the Suez Canal. In fact, the whole game was to strengthen Israel in the region and maintain control over the canal by Great Britain and France, which also joined the war. As we know today, they established a conspiracy with Israel: after the attack on Egypt, they were to play the role of “conciliators”, and in case the refusal to end armed actions by the defending Egyptian government of Gamal Nasser, send their troops to the Middle East. Then the USA turned out to be the actual conciliator.
So was a similar batch of chess played now: Israel began the war, the US appealed for peace, but only to have an argument to attack Iran?
But why should the USA attack Tehran? First of all, to overthrow the enemy regime and block any work on a gas pipeline that would connect Iran with Pakistan and China. You can read more about this in the article The Strait of Ormuz, gas pipelines and geopolitics – what is the conflict in the Middle East?.
The US would certainly also like to control the Strait of the Ormuz – like France and Great Britain, the Suez channel in the 1950s.
Another element of the puzzle is the new silk trail, a giant China project, which is to be an alternative to sea routes of transport of raw materials and goods. The project is starting to be advanced in the Middle East, because on May 25, 2025, the first freight train from XI’an in China reached the port of April in Iran. In practice, this means the official launch of the direct rail connection of the Middle Kingdom with former Persia.
For the US, it is a long -term threat, because – if the new silk trail is completed – China will be independent largely from sea trails, and thus Washington will not have as many pressure as today as today. First of all, Beijing will partly become independent of the Malakka Strait, the second most important strait for trading of goods next to Ormuz.
The bitcoin course reacts
Finally, let’s look at the cryptocurrency market. For now, the Bitcoin course has reacted to the suspension of weapons with growth.
As you can see in the chart, it was possible to break the level of USD 106,000, but the price quickly returned to the area of just over USD 105,000.
Ryan Lee, the main analyst at Bitget Research, remains an optimist:
The potential of cryptocurrencies as a safe marina results from their decentralized nature, constant supply and USD 46 billion to ETF funds, which positions them as a protection against fiducinent devaluation. Market resistance is visible in institutional purchases and a neutral index of fear and greed, although a moderate appetite at risk delays revival.
Bitcoin can reach USD 110,000-1115,000 up to the third quarter of 2025 and 130,000-160,000 USD by the end of the year, while Ethereum aims at 2,600-2 800 USD in short-term perspective and $ 4,500-5 500 in the long-term perspective.
