It gets hot on a polymarket! As many as 61% of the betrs believe that Bitcoin, which is currently staying at the level of 112 081 USD, will pass the exit below the $ 100,000 magical barrier before the end of 2025. This is not a joke, because on Monday as many as 72% of the market was convinced that the king of cryptocurrencies would pass such a decrease, especially after BTC temporarily dived below USD 110,000, for the first time in over six weeks. It seems that the market is shaking a little and the mood is like a carousel … once up, once down. But is this really a preview of a larger crash or just a temporary panic?
What do specialists say?
Analysts from Presto Research shed some light on the matter. Min Jung says that for now the demand from large players, like corporate treasures or institutions, keeps Bitcoin in check, despite the fact that whales (i.e. those who have large amounts of BTC) sometimes sell to power. The problem is that if these big players start selling their resources faster than new investors will be able to take them over, then the 100,000 USD barrier may break like a soap bubble. And this, let’s admit it would be psychologically painful for crypto fans. On the other hand, Bitcoin has not left below this border since June, so maybe it’s just scaring before the next fleece to the new ATH? How does its price stick to?
Interestingly, not everyone is so pessimistic. David Hernandez from 21shares sees something positive in these sales, because in his opinion it is a sign of market maturation. When whales sell and Bitcoin goes to the hands of smaller players, the market becomes less concentrated and more stable in the long run. For this we have companies like Metaplanet, which plan to put up to $ 837 million in BTC between September and October 2025! This shows that the demand for Bitcoin is still solid, even though some already see black clouds.
What does it look like in markets with a lever?
You can not ignore what is happening in the Futures markets. Vetle Lunde from K33 Research warns that levary on Bitcoin’s perpetual contracts has reached a two -year peak, or over 310,000 BTC in open positions! It’s like an inflated balloon that can break if the market shakes. The increase in financing rates from 3% to 11% only turns up the voltage, and it looks like investors play sharply, but this may end in a violent correction, as in previous years.
However, there are good news on the horizon. Hernandez from 21shares points to pro -pristitral movements in the USA, such as Clarity Act, which has gone through the Chamber of Representatives and heads to the Senate. In addition, speculation with interest rate reductions by the FED next month can conquer the prices of risky assets, including Bitcoin. So maybe instead of panic, it’s worth looking at it for the occasion?
Summary
Remember that PolyMarket is a predictive platform, where users bet on the results of various events. From cryptocurrency prices to political choices, using stablecoin, and everything is based on the wisdom of the crowd and blockchain data. Surrounding on a polymarket, although now 61% of them bode Bitcoin a decrease below 100,000 USD before the end of 2025, they are not always right, because the crypto market is a rollercoaster, where one positive news, such as larger cuts of interest rates by the FED in September, can turn the forecasts upside down.
In addition, Ether’s accumulation breaks records, which shows that the mood in crypto is variable, and whales and institutions can quickly change the direction of the market, making today’s types on the polymarket tomorrow will be only a memory. So always analyze two sides of the coin, check carefully how different news affects the market and what can completely reverse the cards on the table.
