- In the October bitcoin.pl survey, 56.3% of 1,742 voters answered that bitcoin will not break 100,000. dollars before the end of 2026.
- Since then, the rate has dropped from approx. 81-86 thousand. to approx. 77.4 thousand dollars. Up to 100 thousand today there is a shortage of about 29%, and there are 62 days left until the end of the year.
- Two things have been weighing on the exchange rate in recent days: the Fed, which does not rule out another rate increase, and the largest theft in the history of cryptocurrencies from Binance.
Will bitcoin return to 100,000? dollars this year? Bitcoin.pl readers mostly don’t believe it. In the survey on the page, 981 of 1,742 people, or 56.3%, answered “no.” They voted in October, when the rate was 81-86 thousand. dollars. Now it’s lower.
What the survey showed
The question was: “Will Bitcoin break $100,000 before the end of 2026?” The poll had 60,882 views and 2.9% of them voted. 761 people, i.e. 43.7%, voted “yes”.
This is not a representative survey. Readers who found the survey in the text vote, and one person can vote once a day. However, the result clearly shows the mood: even among people who are interested in bitcoin, caution prevails.
How much would bitcoin have to grow
On Friday morning, bitcoin cost approximately 77.4 thousand. dollars. Up to 100 thousand approx. 29% missing. There are 62 days left until the end of the year. The last time the rate was above 100,000. dollars on November 13, 2025, and the record from October 6, 2025 is approximately 126.2 thousand. dollars.
Is 29% growth in 62 days a lot? History gives a mixed answer. Bitcoin.pl calculations on daily closing prices from Yahoo Finance from 2015 show that bitcoin ended 62 days higher by at least 29% in approximately 25% of such periods. From 2023, this happened less frequently, in approximately 17% of periods. If we count only the touch of the level during, and not the closing, the results are approximately 38% and 26%, respectively.
This is not a forecast. Such periods are concentrated during bull markets, and currently the price is approximately 39% below the record. However, it shows the scale of the movement that is needed.
What weighs on the course?
The attacker still controls, among others: 18,270 BTC. If he starts selling them, it will be additional supply on the market. It is not known yet what he will do with them.
Which can change the mood
The market will look at three things. The first is the resumption of withdrawals from Binance, which the exchange announces within 48 hours. The second is inflation data in the US, on which the Fed’s December decision depends. The third is the fate of the stolen bitcoins and ETH.
None of these things determine the stock price at the end of the year. However, the coming weeks may decide whether readers who voted “no” in October will be right.
What does this mean to you
Nobody knows where Bitcoin will be on December 31st. The survey shows the mood, and history shows that moves of 29% in two months do happen, but are not the rule. The decision to buy or sell should not be made under the influence of one day with headlines about hackers and stops.
